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Hrvatska je jedna od deset zemalja koje će do 2050. godine imati najveće relativno smanjenje broja stanovnika, razvidno je iz izvještaja "Izgledi svjetskog stanovništva 2022." koji je prije nekoliko dana objavio UN, piše u četvrtak Jutarnji list.

Prema projekcijama UN-a, Hrvatska bi 2050. godine trebala imati 3,3 milijuna stanovnika, odnosno 17 posto manje nego danas.

No, valja imati na umu da su UN-ovi stručnjaci baratali "starom" brojkom od 4,03 milijuna stanovnika Hrvatske, odnosno nisu u izračune uvrstili aktualnu brojku od 3,88 milijuna stanovnika u Hrvatskoj, koju je pokazao prošlogodišnji popis stanovništva.

"Brzinski sam pogledao izvještaj i vidio da UN nije uzeo u obzir rezultate popisa pa nam je precijenio broj stanovnika s jedne strane, a s druge strane podcijenio neke pokazatelje poput totalne stope fertiliteta. Totalna stopa fertiliteta (TFR) u 2021. bi trebala biti viša od 1,6, koliko UN procjenjuje. Broj stanovnika u Hrvatskoj bi do 2050. godine mogao biti i manji od prognoziranog, ali i veći uslijed migracija i većeg TFR-a. U svakom slučaju, ne mislim da su ove projekcije za Hrvatsku idealno napravljene i trebalo bi ih korigirati", rekao nam je demograf dr. Ivan Čipin, izvanredni profesor na Ekonomskom fakultetu u Zagrebu.

Među zemljama koje očekuje najveće relativno smanjenje broja stanovnika, s padom od 20 posto ili čak višim, gore od nas su Bugarska, Latvija, Litva, Srbija, Ukrajina i Bosna i Hercegovina. Hrvatska je, nažalost, iz Bugarsku, Litvu i Latviju bila jedna od zemalja koje su od 1950. do 2021. godine imale najveći postotni pad broja stanovnika (u obzir uzimamo zemlje koje imaju više od pola milijuna stanovnika).

U izvještaju "Izgledi svjetskog stanovništva 2022." navodi se kako svjetska populacija trenutačno broji 7,942 milijarde ljudi, a da bi se osammilijarditi Zemljanin trebao roditi oko 15. studenoga ove godine, piše novinarka Jutarnjeg lista Tanja Rudež.

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Hrvatska je jedna od deset zemalja koje će do 2050. godine imati najveće relativno smanjenje broja stanovnika, razvidno je iz izvještaja "Izgledi svjetskog stanovništva 2022." koji je prije nekoliko dana objavio UN, piše u četvrtak Jutarnji list.

Prema projekcijama UN-a, Hrvatska bi 2050. godine trebala imati 3,3 milijuna stanovnika, odnosno 17 posto manje nego danas.

No, valja imati na umu da su UN-ovi stručnjaci baratali "starom" brojkom od 4,03 milijuna stanovnika Hrvatske, odnosno nisu u izračune uvrstili aktualnu brojku od 3,88 milijuna stanovnika u Hrvatskoj, koju je pokazao prošlogodišnji popis stanovništva.

"Brzinski sam pogledao izvještaj i vidio da UN nije uzeo u obzir rezultate popisa pa nam je precijenio broj stanovnika s jedne strane, a s druge strane podcijenio neke pokazatelje poput totalne stope fertiliteta. Totalna stopa fertiliteta (TFR) u 2021. bi trebala biti viša od 1,6, koliko UN procjenjuje. Broj stanovnika u Hrvatskoj bi do 2050. godine mogao biti i manji od prognoziranog, ali i veći uslijed migracija i većeg TFR-a. U svakom slučaju, ne mislim da su ove projekcije za Hrvatsku idealno napravljene i trebalo bi ih korigirati", rekao nam je demograf dr. Ivan Čipin, izvanredni profesor na Ekonomskom fakultetu u Zagrebu.

Među zemljama koje očekuje najveće relativno smanjenje broja stanovnika, s padom od 20 posto ili čak višim, gore od nas su Bugarska, Latvija, Litva, Srbija, Ukrajina i Bosna i Hercegovina. Hrvatska je, nažalost, iz Bugarsku, Litvu i Latviju bila jedna od zemalja koje su od 1950. do 2021. godine imale najveći postotni pad broja stanovnika (u obzir uzimamo zemlje koje imaju više od pola milijuna stanovnika).

U izvještaju "Izgledi svjetskog stanovništva 2022." navodi se kako svjetska populacija trenutačno broji 7,942 milijarde ljudi, a da bi se osammilijarditi Zemljanin trebao roditi oko 15. studenoga ove godine, piše novinarka Jutarnjeg lista Tanja Rudež.

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Hrvatska i svijetdemografski slom

Kad si pri vrhu, a nemaš se čime pohvaliti: Hrvatska svrstana među 10 svjetskih zemalja s najvećim padom stanovništva

Piše hina
14. srpnja 2022. - 09:51
22605310
Mario Todoric/Cropix/Cropix

Hrvatska je jedna od deset zemalja koje će do 2050. godine imati najveće relativno smanjenje broja stanovnika, razvidno je iz izvještaja "Izgledi svjetskog stanovništva 2022." koji je prije nekoliko dana objavio UN, piše u četvrtak Jutarnji list.

Prema projekcijama UN-a, Hrvatska bi 2050. godine trebala imati 3,3 milijuna stanovnika, odnosno 17 posto manje nego danas.

No, valja imati na umu da su UN-ovi stručnjaci baratali "starom" brojkom od 4,03 milijuna stanovnika Hrvatske, odnosno nisu u izračune uvrstili aktualnu brojku od 3,88 milijuna stanovnika u Hrvatskoj, koju je pokazao prošlogodišnji popis stanovništva.

"Brzinski sam pogledao izvještaj i vidio da UN nije uzeo u obzir rezultate popisa pa nam je precijenio broj stanovnika s jedne strane, a s druge strane podcijenio neke pokazatelje poput totalne stope fertiliteta. Totalna stopa fertiliteta (TFR) u 2021. bi trebala biti viša od 1,6, koliko UN procjenjuje. Broj stanovnika u Hrvatskoj bi do 2050. godine mogao biti i manji od prognoziranog, ali i veći uslijed migracija i većeg TFR-a. U svakom slučaju, ne mislim da su ove projekcije za Hrvatsku idealno napravljene i trebalo bi ih korigirati", rekao nam je demograf dr. Ivan Čipin, izvanredni profesor na Ekonomskom fakultetu u Zagrebu.

Među zemljama koje očekuje najveće relativno smanjenje broja stanovnika, s padom od 20 posto ili čak višim, gore od nas su Bugarska, Latvija, Litva, Srbija, Ukrajina i Bosna i Hercegovina. Hrvatska je, nažalost, iz Bugarsku, Litvu i Latviju bila jedna od zemalja koje su od 1950. do 2021. godine imale najveći postotni pad broja stanovnika (u obzir uzimamo zemlje koje imaju više od pola milijuna stanovnika).

U izvještaju "Izgledi svjetskog stanovništva 2022." navodi se kako svjetska populacija trenutačno broji 7,942 milijarde ljudi, a da bi se osammilijarditi Zemljanin trebao roditi oko 15. studenoga ove godine, piše novinarka Jutarnjeg lista Tanja Rudež.

#PAD BROJA STANOVNIKA#DEMOGRAFIJA
16. svibanj 2024 10:38